Real Oviedo vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
8.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1961 |
BAR
0 - 0
OVI
32%
24%
44%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
FCB
3 - 5
OVI
92%
6%
3%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
OVI
2 - 0
ATH
29%
25%
46%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
OVI
1 - 0
MLL
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
ZAR
4 - 1
OVI
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1961 |
BAR
0 - 0
OVI
32%
24%
44%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
TER
2 - 3
BAR
58%
21%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
BAR
3 - 1
CDC
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
SDI
3 - 1
BAR
64%
19%
17%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
SPO
0 - 0
BAR
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |