Real Murcia vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
59.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
FCB
3 - 0
MUR
83%
11%
7%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
MUR
1 - 3
ATH
26%
23%
51%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
RMA
2 - 1
MUR
83%
11%
6%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
SEV
3 - 2
MUR
86%
9%
5%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
MUR
3 - 0
CEL
38%
23%
39%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
VCF
5 - 1
CEL
72%
15%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
OVI
3 - 3
VCF
61%
18%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
VCF
3 - 0
ESP
51%
21%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
ATM
2 - 2
VCF
64%
17%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
VCF
6 - 0
HER
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |