LaLiga Round 1

Real Murcia vs Real Zaragoza analysis

Real Murcia Real Zaragoza
79 ELO 89
6.8% Tilt -22.6%
1656º General ELO ranking 616º
56º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
27.8%
Real Murcia
27%
Draw
45.3%
Real Zaragoza

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
Real Murcia
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
45.3%
Win probability
Real Zaragoza
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Murcia
-1%
-11%
Real Zaragoza

ELO progression

Real Murcia
Real Zaragoza
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Murcia
Real Murcia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jun. 2007
MUR
Real Murcia
1 - 4
Tenerife
CDT
60%
23%
18%
79 74 5 0
09 Jun. 2007
VEC
UD Vecindario
1 - 1
Real Murcia
MUR
28%
30%
42%
79 60 19 0
03 Jun. 2007
MUR
Real Murcia
2 - 2
RM Castilla
RMC
62%
22%
16%
80 69 11 -1
27 May. 2007
MAL
Málaga
1 - 2
Real Murcia
MUR
56%
25%
19%
79 81 2 +1
20 May. 2007
MUR
Real Murcia
0 - 2
Elche
ELC
60%
23%
18%
80 73 7 -1

Matches

Real Zaragoza
Real Zaragoza
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jun. 2007
REC
Recreativo
1 - 1
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
38%
27%
35%
89 86 3 0
09 Jun. 2007
ZAR
Real Zaragoza
2 - 2
Real Madrid
RMA
31%
25%
44%
89 93 4 0
27 May. 2007
SEV
Sevilla
3 - 1
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
62%
22%
16%
89 92 3 0
19 May. 2007
ZAR
Real Zaragoza
4 - 3
Athletic
ATH
58%
23%
20%
89 86 3 0
13 May. 2007
VCF
Valencia
2 - 0
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
59%
23%
18%
89 91 2 0