Primera RFEF Grupo II. Jor. 8

Real Murcia vs Real Unión Club analysis

Real Murcia Real Unión Club
54 ELO 53
-18.7% Tilt -8.8%
2160º General ELO ranking 2707º
66º Country ELO ranking 80º
ELO win probability
46.1%
Real Murcia
28.2%
Draw
25.7%
Real Unión Club

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
Real Murcia
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
25.6%
Win probability
Real Unión Club
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Murcia
-2%
-9%
Real Unión Club

Points and table prediction

Real Murcia
Their league position
Real Unión Club
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
12º
48
20º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Eldense
69
69
100%
SD Amorebieta
69
69
100%
CD Castellón
62
62
100%
Barça Atlètic
61
61
100%
Real Sociedad B
60
60
100%
Real Murcia
56
56
100%
Osasuna Promesas
53
53
100%
Gimnàstic Tarragona
53
53
100%
SD Logroñés
51
51
100%
CE Sabadell
10º
50
50
10º
100%
CF Intercity
12º
49
49
11º
100%
UE Cornellà
11º
49
49
12º
100%
Real Unión Club
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Alcoyano
15º
47
47
14º
0%
Atlético Baleares
14º
47
47
15º
0%
CF La Nucía
17º
46
46
16º
100%
Numancia
16º
46
46
17º
100%
UD Logroñés
18º
36
36
18º
100%
CD Calahorra
19º
33
33
19º
100%
Bilbao Ath.
20º
26
26
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Real Murcia
Real Unión Club
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Real Murcia
Real Unión Club
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Murcia
Real Murcia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 2022
GIM
Gimnàstic Tarragona
3 - 2
Real Murcia
MUR
54%
24%
21%
55 57 2 0
01 Oct. 2022
MUR
Real Murcia
4 - 2
SD Logroñés
SDL
41%
28%
32%
54 52 2 +1
24 Sep. 2022
FCB
Barça Atlètic
2 - 0
Real Murcia
MUR
61%
22%
17%
55 60 5 -1
17 Sep. 2022
MUR
Real Murcia
0 - 0
Numancia
NUM
31%
30%
39%
55 59 4 0
10 Sep. 2022
RSO
Real Sociedad B
1 - 2
Real Murcia
MUR
54%
25%
21%
54 57 3 +1

Matches

Real Unión Club
Real Unión Club
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 2022
RUN
Real Unión Club
1 - 0
Terrassa FC
TER
61%
22%
17%
52 46 6 0
09 Oct. 2022
RUN
Real Unión Club
4 - 3
SD Amorebieta
SDA
34%
27%
39%
51 57 6 +1
05 Oct. 2022
RUN
Real Unión Club
2 - 0
Illueca
ICF
76%
16%
8%
51 30 21 0
02 Oct. 2022
NUC
CF La Nucía
1 - 1
Real Unión Club
RUN
40%
30%
31%
51 51 0 0
28 Sep. 2022
RUN
Real Unión Club
1 - 0
Náxara
NAX
74%
17%
9%
51 32 19 0
X