Real Madrid vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
DEP
1 - 0
RMA
24%
25%
51%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
RMA
2 - 1
ESP
70%
18%
12%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
RMA
1 - 2
ROM
63%
20%
17%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
REC
2 - 3
RMA
21%
25%
54%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
RMA
0 - 1
GET
73%
17%
10%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
VCF
3 - 2
FCB
30%
26%
44%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
VCF
1 - 2
SEV
37%
26%
36%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
VCF
2 - 2
DEP
59%
23%
18%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
ESP
2 - 0
VCF
49%
25%
26%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
FCB
1 - 1
VCF
74%
17%
9%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |