Real Madrid vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
6.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2017 |
ATM
2 - 1
RMA
30%
24%
46%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
GRA
0 - 4
RMA
3%
10%
87%
|
94 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2017 |
RMA
3 - 0
ATM
66%
19%
15%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
RMA
2 - 1
VCF
84%
11%
6%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
DEP
2 - 6
RMA
7%
14%
80%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2017 |
SEV
1 - 1
RSO
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2017 |
MAL
4 - 2
SEV
34%
25%
40%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2017 |
SEV
2 - 1
CEL
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
SEV
2 - 0
GRA
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
VCF
0 - 0
SEV
49%
23%
28%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |