Real Madrid vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2002 |
RMA
2 - 2
LOK
77%
15%
8%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
MLL
1 - 5
RMA
31%
25%
44%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2002 |
RMA
2 - 0
OLI
90%
7%
3%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2002 |
ACM
1 - 0
RMA
40%
25%
35%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
FCB
0 - 0
RMA
50%
23%
28%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
REC
1 - 1
DEP
17%
24%
59%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
VIL
1 - 0
REC
69%
20%
11%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
REC
2 - 1
RAC
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
ALA
3 - 0
REC
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
REC
1 - 3
VAD
32%
28%
41%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |