Champions League . Last 16
Global 2-2
Real Madrid vs Rapid Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
8.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1968 |
RMA
2 - 1
GRA
86%
10%
4%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
PON
0 - 0
RMA
19%
26%
55%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1968 |
RAP
1 - 0
RMA
38%
24%
38%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1968 |
RMA
2 - 1
FCB
69%
19%
12%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
ATM
0 - 1
RMA
38%
26%
36%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1968 |
RAP
2 - 1
EIS
86%
9%
5%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
WAT
0 - 5
RAP
33%
27%
39%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1968 |
RAP
1 - 0
RMA
38%
24%
38%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1968 |
RAP
5 - 2
STR
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1968 |
LBN
2 - 3
RAP
37%
27%
37%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |