Champions League Playoffs. Last 16
Global 5-2
Real Madrid vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
19.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
RMA
5 - 2
RSO
85%
10%
5%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
LEV
2 - 2
RMA
5%
13%
82%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
VCF
1 - 4
RMA
25%
21%
54%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
RMA
1 - 2
LEG
91%
7%
2%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
RMA
7 - 1
DEP
90%
8%
3%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
TFC
0 - 1
PSG
6%
14%
80%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
SOC
1 - 4
PSG
7%
14%
79%
|
91 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
LIL
0 - 3
PSG
9%
16%
76%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
REN
2 - 3
PSG
11%
17%
72%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
PSG
4 - 0
MPL
87%
10%
4%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |