Real Madrid vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
4.1%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
DEP
2 - 1
RMA
24%
26%
50%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
RMA
4 - 2
VCF
74%
15%
11%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
VCF
3 - 2
RMA
25%
22%
53%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
ARS
1 - 0
RMA
51%
25%
25%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
RMA
2 - 1
HSV
81%
13%
6%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
NUM
1 - 0
FCB
13%
21%
65%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
CEL
0 - 0
NUM
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
NUM
2 - 2
POL
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
EIB
1 - 0
NUM
28%
28%
43%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
NUM
2 - 2
CAS
58%
25%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |