Real Madrid vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
5.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
MLL
1 - 2
RMA
33%
25%
42%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1999 |
RMA
3 - 1
DEP
70%
19%
12%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1999 |
RMA
2 - 1
VCF
59%
22%
19%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1999 |
ATM
3 - 1
RMA
43%
24%
34%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1999 |
VCF
6 - 0
RMA
45%
24%
31%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
NUM
1 - 0
VAD
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1999 |
NUM
3 - 0
REC
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 1999 |
CDO
0 - 2
NUM
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1999 |
NUM
3 - 2
SEV
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
COM
0 - 1
NUM
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |