Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 8-0
Real Madrid vs Fram analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
6.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1974 |
SLA
0 - 0
RMA
27%
30%
44%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1974 |
FRA
0 - 2
RMA
25%
25%
50%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
RMA
2 - 1
HER
84%
11%
5%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
VCF
1 - 2
RMA
43%
28%
29%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1974 |
RMA
4 - 0
FCB
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fram
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1974 |
FRA
0 - 2
RMA
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1974 |
IBA
1 - 4
FRA
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1974 |
FRA
1 - 1
KRR
60%
24%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1974 |
IAA
3 - 1
FRA
63%
21%
17%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 1974 |
IBV
2 - 2
FRA
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |