Real Madrid vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
SEV
3 - 0
RMA
20%
21%
59%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
RMA
1 - 0
ESP
87%
9%
4%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
RMA
3 - 0
ROM
77%
14%
9%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ATH
1 - 1
RMA
9%
16%
75%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
RMA
4 - 1
LEG
93%
6%
1%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
ATM
3 - 0
HUE
75%
18%
7%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
GET
0 - 2
ATM
17%
25%
58%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
ATM
32%
27%
42%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ATM
1 - 1
EIB
64%
23%
13%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CEL
2 - 0
ATM
29%
26%
45%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | -1 |