Real Madrid vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
LEG
2 - 4
RMA
4%
11%
85%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
RMA
3 - 0
ALA
91%
7%
2%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
ATH
1 - 2
RMA
19%
20%
61%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
RMA
2 - 1
BET
87%
9%
4%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
NAP
1 - 3
RMA
30%
22%
48%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
ATM
1 - 0
RSO
69%
20%
11%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
MAL
0 - 2
ATM
19%
26%
56%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ATM
3 - 1
SEV
63%
21%
16%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
ATM
0 - 0
LEV
67%
20%
14%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
GRA
0 - 1
ATM
12%
23%
65%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |