Real Madrid vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
14.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
RMA
1 - 0
OSA
88%
9%
3%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
MLL
0 - 0
RMA
26%
24%
51%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
RMA
2 - 0
PEÑ
84%
11%
6%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
HER
1 - 3
RMA
19%
23%
58%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
SDL
1 - 1
RMA
17%
23%
60%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
AJA
2 - 0
WIL
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
GRA
0 - 5
AJA
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
AJA
2 - 1
DYN
65%
20%
15%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
AJA
3 - 0
RJC
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
DYN
1 - 1
AJA
34%
23%
43%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |