Real Jaén vs Maracena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
5º
2º
33
12º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 0
RJA
47%
25%
29%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RJA
3 - 0
UDT
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MOT
0 - 1
RJA
64%
20%
17%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
POZ
0 - 0
RJA
46%
26%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
XER
0 - 2
RJA
61%
23%
16%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
HUE
13%
20%
67%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CHM
0 - 0
MAR
51%
21%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 3
ALM
11%
19%
70%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
GRA
13%
22%
65%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
ARE
41%
26%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |