Real Jaén vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
RJA
3 - 1
SDS
89%
9%
3%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
LIN
2 - 1
RJA
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
RJA
6 - 0
UNI
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
NOV
2 - 1
RJA
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
RJA
3 - 1
GAN
73%
16%
11%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
CFC
3 - 1
HER
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
HER
2 - 0
ELD
83%
12%
5%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
BEN
0 - 5
HER
18%
23%
59%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
HER
4 - 0
TOM
89%
7%
3%
|
60 | 26 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
AGU
1 - 2
HER
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 29 | 31 | 0 |