Real España vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
RES
3 - 1
EST
57%
23%
21%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
RES
1 - 0
JAG
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
EST
0 - 0
RES
39%
25%
37%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
RES
2 - 0
MOT
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
MOT
3 - 0
RES
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
MOT
4 - 0
HNP
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
RES
2 - 0
MOT
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
MOT
3 - 0
RES
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 1
MOT
44%
25%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
MOT
1 - 1
OLI
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |