Real España vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
RES
1 - 1
MUN
63%
21%
15%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
VID
0 - 0
RES
29%
25%
46%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
PLA
3 - 3
RES
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
PAC
4 - 1
RES
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
RES
3 - 2
PAR
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
MOT
2 - 0
PLA
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
MOT
4 - 1
HNP
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
RSO
1 - 1
MOT
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 2
MOT
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
MOT
3 - 1
VID
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |