Real Cartagena vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
46.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CUC
3 - 2
CAR
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
HUI
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
JUN
0 - 3
CAR
73%
17%
9%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +2 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
JUN
33%
27%
41%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
CAR
4 - 2
UNI
73%
17%
11%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ONC
0 - 1
MIL
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 1
ONC
48%
24%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ONC
3 - 1
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
JUN
1 - 1
ONC
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
ONC
1 - 1
JUN
52%
24%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |