Real Cartagena vs Llaneros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
RSC
2 - 0
CAR
50%
25%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 0
BAR
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
AFC
3 - 0
CAR
28%
28%
44%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 1
COR
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
COR
1 - 0
CAR
64%
22%
15%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
LLA
0 - 1
BJC
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
ORS
0 - 0
LLA
44%
27%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
LLA
0 - 1
QUI
28%
29%
43%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 2
LLA
62%
23%
16%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
UNI
2 - 0
LLA
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |