Real Cartagena vs Leones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
28.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2019 |
LEO
1 - 1
CAR
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
COR
3 - 0
CAR
35%
25%
40%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 2
CAR
32%
25%
43%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
REA
3 - 3
CAR
26%
27%
47%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2019 |
LEO
1 - 1
CAR
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
LEO
3 - 1
COR
26%
24%
50%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 0
LEO
36%
25%
40%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2019 |
LEO
2 - 4
PER
26%
25%
49%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
ORS
1 - 2
LEO
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |