Real Burgos CF vs Villarcayo Nela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Burgos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
PEN
3 - 1
RBU
43%
26%
31%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
RBU
1 - 2
BEC
36%
27%
37%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
RBU
1 - 0
BAÑ
33%
26%
40%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
CFS
2 - 1
RBU
61%
23%
17%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
RBU
1 - 2
STM
37%
27%
36%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Villarcayo Nela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 2
GRA
13%
20%
67%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
VIL
70%
19%
12%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
LER
39%
25%
36%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
UXA
2 - 1
VIL
75%
16%
9%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 2
CFB
14%
21%
65%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |