Real Bethlehem vs Cenicero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
71.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Bethlehem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
RBF
87%
9%
4%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
RBF
2 - 3
HAR
10%
15%
75%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
REB
4 - 1
RBF
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
RBF
2 - 1
CDA
31%
22%
48%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
SDS
1 - 1
RBF
42%
22%
37%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cenicero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CEN
1 - 0
RRF
48%
22%
30%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
CEN
4 - 1
CDS
76%
16%
9%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CEN
1 - 0
BAÑ
47%
23%
30%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
RAP
5 - 1
CEN
60%
21%
20%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PRA
1 - 3
CEN
14%
17%
69%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |