Real Avilés Industrial B vs Atlético de Lugones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
COV
1 - 1
AVI
63%
20%
18%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
AVI
0 - 2
UPL
28%
26%
46%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CEA
2 - 1
AVI
56%
22%
22%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
AVI
4 - 3
URR
35%
23%
42%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LUA
1 - 3
AVI
40%
25%
35%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 2
CAN
52%
24%
24%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CON
2 - 0
ATL
58%
24%
19%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 0
LEA
32%
26%
42%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 2
ROB
38%
25%
37%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
COV
0 - 1
ATL
66%
20%
14%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |