Real Ávila vs UD Santa Marta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CDB
1 - 0
AVI
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
AVI
3 - 1
GRA
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
LVC
0 - 0
AVI
27%
24%
50%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
AVI
3 - 0
MIR
76%
16%
9%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ZAM
4 - 1
AVI
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
UD Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
STM
0 - 0
AST
12%
19%
69%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
BEC
1 - 0
STM
47%
23%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
STM
1 - 1
LEO
31%
23%
46%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
RBU
3 - 1
STM
42%
24%
34%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
STM
0 - 2
BUR
33%
26%
42%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |