Cusco FC vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cusco FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 0
GAR
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
GAR
1 - 0
MUN
65%
21%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 1
GAR
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
GAR
1 - 0
MEL
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CIE
1 - 1
GAR
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2015 |
AUR
4 - 0
HUA
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 2
AUR
45%
28%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 0
SAM
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 0
AUR
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 1
MUN
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |