Premier League 2 Division Two round 1

Reading U23 vs Newcastle U23 analysis

Reading U23 Newcastle U23
50 ELO 46
17.3% Tilt 9.6%
38294º General ELO ranking 37929º
1178º Country ELO ranking 1159º
ELO win probability
55.1%
Reading U23
21.4%
Draw
23.6%
Newcastle U23

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
Reading U23
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.6%
Win probability
Newcastle U23
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Reading U23
-29%
-3%
Newcastle U23

ELO progression

Reading U23
Newcastle U23
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Reading U23
Reading U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Apr. 2019
STO
Stoke City U23
2 - 1
Reading U23
REA
34%
23%
43%
49 44 5 0
12 Apr. 2019
REA
Reading U23
3 - 2
Aston Villa U23
ASV
43%
24%
34%
47 51 4 +2
05 Apr. 2019
FUL
Fulham U23
0 - 3
Reading U23
REA
30%
24%
46%
46 41 5 +1
09 Mar. 2019
REA
Reading U23
2 - 2
Middlesbrough U23
MID
65%
19%
16%
46 41 5 0
01 Mar. 2019
SOU
Southampton U23
1 - 2
Reading U23
REA
59%
21%
20%
44 50 6 +2

Matches

Newcastle U23
Newcastle U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2019
MID
Middlesbrough U23
0 - 1
Newcastle U23
NSB
36%
24%
40%
46 42 4 0
15 Apr. 2019
NSB
Newcastle U23
0 - 5
Man. Utd U23
MUN
63%
21%
17%
48 44 4 -2
08 Apr. 2019
STO
Stoke City U23
2 - 3
Newcastle U23
NSB
42%
23%
35%
47 44 3 +1
23 Mar. 2019
NSB
Newcastle U23
2 - 0
Wolverhampton U23
WOL
44%
24%
33%
46 48 2 +1
11 Mar. 2019
NSB
Newcastle U23
0 - 3
Aston Villa U23
ASV
47%
24%
30%
48 49 1 -2