Reading vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1930 |
NTT
1 - 1
REA
72%
16%
12%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1930 |
BCF
2 - 2
REA
78%
13%
8%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1930 |
REA
1 - 2
PLY
61%
20%
19%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1930 |
BRA
6 - 1
REA
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1930 |
REA
4 - 1
BRI
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1930 |
NTT
1 - 1
REA
72%
16%
12%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1930 |
CHA
1 - 1
NTT
61%
20%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1930 |
NTT
3 - 3
BAR
67%
18%
15%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1930 |
BCF
1 - 0
NTT
74%
15%
11%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1930 |
NTT
1 - 6
WBA
43%
23%
34%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |