Championship Round 26

Reading vs Bolton Wanderers analysis

Reading Bolton Wanderers
76 ELO 75
9.6% Tilt 3.5%
1594º General ELO ranking 1235º
50º Country ELO ranking 42º
ELO win probability
43.6%
Reading
25.1%
Draw
31.3%
Bolton Wanderers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
Reading
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.3%
Win probability
Bolton Wanderers
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Reading
-5%
-9%
Bolton Wanderers

ELO progression

Reading
Bolton Wanderers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Reading
Reading
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jan. 2014
WAT
Watford
0 - 1
Reading
REA
44%
26%
31%
75 72 3 0
04 Jan. 2014
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 0
Reading
REA
43%
25%
33%
75 74 1 0
01 Jan. 2014
REA
Reading
1 - 1
Nottingham Forest
NTT
54%
25%
22%
75 73 2 0
29 Dec. 2013
MID
Middlesbrough
3 - 0
Reading
REA
32%
27%
42%
76 68 8 -1
26 Dec. 2013
LEI
Leicester
1 - 0
Reading
REA
48%
25%
28%
76 76 0 0

Matches

Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jan. 2014
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
1 - 1
Nottingham Forest
NTT
50%
25%
25%
76 75 1 0
04 Jan. 2014
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
2 - 1
Blackpool
BPO
57%
23%
20%
76 69 7 0
01 Jan. 2014
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
2 - 2
Middlesbrough
MID
58%
24%
19%
76 69 7 0
29 Dec. 2013
LEI
Leicester
5 - 3
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
49%
25%
27%
76 77 1 0
26 Dec. 2013
BAR
Barnsley
0 - 1
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
25%
26%
49%
76 63 13 0