Reading vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
13.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 1
REA
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
BRI
2 - 0
REA
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
REA
1 - 2
BUR
63%
23%
14%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
IPS
2 - 0
REA
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2017 |
REA
2 - 2
CAR
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
BIR
1 - 0
LEE
18%
24%
58%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
BIR
0 - 2
NOR
19%
24%
57%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
SUN
1 - 1
BIR
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
BIR
1 - 2
QPR
40%
28%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
FUL
1 - 0
BIR
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |