1ª AF Aveiro Round 6

RD Agueda vs Mourisquense analysis

RD Agueda Mourisquense
44 ELO 10
-3.8% Tilt 0.4%
26435º General ELO ranking 26879º
475º Country ELO ranking 505º
ELO win probability
86.8%
RD Agueda
9.6%
Draw
3.6%
Mourisquense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.8%
Win probability
RD Agueda
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
3.5%
Win probability
Mourisquense
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
RD Agueda
+33%
+10%
Mourisquense

ELO progression

RD Agueda
Mourisquense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

RD Agueda
RD Agueda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 2014
CAR
Carregosense
2 - 2
RD Agueda
RDA
10%
17%
74%
45 14 31 0
05 Oct. 2014
RDA
RD Agueda
1 - 1
Bustelo
BUS
73%
17%
10%
46 33 13 -1
01 Oct. 2014
RDA
RD Agueda
3 - 0
Uniao Lamas
UNI
55%
23%
22%
46 44 2 0
27 Sep. 2014
SCF
SC Freamunde
2 - 1
RD Agueda
RDA
74%
16%
10%
48 61 13 -2
21 Sep. 2014
RDA
RD Agueda
0 - 0
Avanca
AVA
76%
16%
9%
48 30 18 0

Matches

Mourisquense
Mourisquense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 2014
MOU
Mourisquense
1 - 1
Bairro
BAI
36%
24%
41%
9 11 2 0
05 Oct. 2014
OVA
Ovarense
2 - 1
Mourisquense
MOU
85%
11%
4%
9 52 43 0
28 Sep. 2014
MOU
Mourisquense
1 - 0
Calvão
CAL
35%
23%
42%
7 10 3 +2
21 Sep. 2014
ESC
Atlético Cucujães
1 - 0
Mourisquense
MOU
66%
19%
16%
8 11 3 -1
14 Sep. 2014
MOU
Mourisquense
2 - 3
Mealhada
MEA
40%
23%
37%
9 10 1 -1