Nueva Sevilla vs C.D. Atlético Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
53%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CDF
2 - 1
NSE
55%
21%
25%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 0
NSE
68%
18%
14%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
NSE
1 - 3
VIL
25%
21%
54%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 1
NSE
58%
20%
22%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
NSE
1 - 3
MON
35%
23%
41%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
C.D. Atlético Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
CDF
66%
17%
17%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CLA
1 - 1
POR
44%
21%
36%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
POR
4 - 2
VIL
35%
22%
44%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CAZ
2 - 1
POR
38%
21%
41%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
LOR
3 - 2
POR
40%
22%
38%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |