RB Leipzig vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
RBL
2 - 1
PAD
40%
24%
36%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
MUN
0 - 3
RBL
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
RBL
0 - 0
VFR
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
RBL
2 - 3
GET
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2014 |
RBL
4 - 2
PSG
10%
18%
73%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
CZJ
0 - 1
ERZ
23%
24%
54%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ERZ
1 - 5
RTV
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
FCN
1 - 0
ERZ
62%
23%
16%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2014 |
ERZ
1 - 3
MOS
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
ERZ
0 - 1
STU
21%
23%
56%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |