Rayo vs Alcabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.1%
27.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CRQ
4 - 4
RAY
52%
19%
28%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
RAY
0 - 5
BTO
27%
20%
53%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
POL
9 - 0
RAY
48%
21%
31%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
RAY
2 - 2
PUE
42%
21%
37%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
ORO
5 - 0
RAY
66%
17%
17%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alcabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ALC
2 - 8
GUA
21%
19%
59%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
CRQ
3 - 1
ALC
34%
20%
46%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 0
BTO
19%
19%
62%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
POL
5 - 0
ALC
44%
22%
34%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 0
PUE
41%
21%
38%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | +1 |