LaLiga . Jor. 41

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Zaragoza analysis

Rayo Vallecano Real Zaragoza
75 ELO 83
15.4% Tilt -13.2%
192º General ELO ranking 772º
17º Country ELO ranking 40º
ELO win probability
35%
Rayo Vallecano
27.3%
Draw
37.7%
Real Zaragoza

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
Rayo Vallecano
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.7%
Win probability
Real Zaragoza
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rayo Vallecano
-3%
-5%
Real Zaragoza

ELO progression

Rayo Vallecano
Real Zaragoza
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 May. 1996
MER
Mérida CP
0 - 1
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
51%
26%
23%
74 74 0 0
05 May. 1996
RAY
Rayo Vallecano
0 - 2
Real Valladolid
VAD
57%
24%
20%
74 75 1 0
28 Apr. 1996
DEP
RC Deportivo
1 - 0
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
77%
16%
8%
74 88 14 0
21 Apr. 1996
RAY
Rayo Vallecano
1 - 3
Celta
CEL
50%
26%
24%
75 78 3 -1
14 Apr. 1996
ESP
Espanyol
4 - 2
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
68%
21%
11%
75 83 8 0

Matches

Real Zaragoza
Real Zaragoza
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 May. 1996
ZAR
Real Zaragoza
1 - 0
Athletic
ATH
63%
21%
16%
83 80 3 0
05 May. 1996
ZAR
Real Zaragoza
3 - 1
Mérida CP
MER
73%
18%
10%
83 75 8 0
28 Apr. 1996
VAD
Real Valladolid
0 - 0
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
34%
28%
38%
83 75 8 0
21 Apr. 1996
ZAR
Real Zaragoza
2 - 3
RC Deportivo
DEP
47%
27%
27%
83 87 4 0
14 Apr. 1996
CEL
Celta
1 - 1
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
40%
28%
32%
83 78 5 0
X