Rayo Vallecano vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
13.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2020 |
ZAR
2 - 4
RAY
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2020 |
RAY
0 - 0
MAL
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2020 |
ALC
3 - 2
RAY
24%
27%
49%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2020 |
RAY
1 - 1
SPO
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
DEP
3 - 3
RAY
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
NUM
1 - 0
EXT
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2020 |
LUG
3 - 1
NUM
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
NUM
1 - 0
OVI
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
GIR
2 - 0
NUM
63%
23%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2020 |
FUE
2 - 0
NUM
31%
28%
41%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |