Rayo Breano vs Herrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
61.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-73%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Breano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
DAR
2 - 1
RBR
36%
23%
41%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
RBR
2 - 2
GOT
35%
24%
42%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
EMB
1 - 0
RBR
49%
22%
29%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
RBR
2 - 1
PCU
59%
20%
21%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2014 |
GOT
3 - 1
RBR
46%
22%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
HER
5 - 0
ZAL
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PCU
1 - 4
HER
14%
19%
67%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
HER
5 - 2
RIC
79%
13%
8%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
HER
3 - 0
ANI
81%
13%
7%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
HER
3 - 0
ARI
78%
14%
9%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 |