Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1978 |
WIE
3 - 3
RAP
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
RAP
1 - 1
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1978 |
LIN
0 - 0
RAP
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1978 |
SSW
0 - 2
RAP
54%
24%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1978 |
RAP
3 - 1
GRA
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1978 |
STR
1 - 1
GRA
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1978 |
VIE
0 - 0
STR
53%
25%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1978 |
STR
0 - 0
RBS
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
AUS
4 - 1
STR
79%
13%
7%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1978 |
STR
2 - 0
SSW
41%
28%
30%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +2 |