UCL Qualifying 3rd Round Final
Global 5-4
Rapid Wien vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
42.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
RAP
3 - 0
RIE
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
WEI
1 - 5
RAP
7%
14%
80%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
RAP
2 - 0
FSV
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
RAP
0 - 0
JAB
36%
25%
39%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2015 |
SKN
1 - 4
RAP
14%
19%
66%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
ASS
1 - 0
AJA
40%
26%
35%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 1
WOL
29%
24%
46%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 0
PAN
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 2
DIN
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
FCD
2 - 1
AJA
10%
18%
73%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |