Ramiro Castillo vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 1
ORU
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 1
PET
53%
22%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
PET
1 - 1
AUR
41%
24%
35%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 0
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 0
AUR
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |