Raków Częstochowa vs Polonia Nowy Tomyśl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raków Częstochowa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
ZAG
1 - 1
RAK
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
RAK
1 - 1
JAR
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 1
RAK
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
RAK
3 - 0
MPS
79%
15%
6%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
NIE
1 - 0
RAK
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Polonia Nowy Tomyśl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
PNT
0 - 3
GKS
18%
23%
59%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
MIE
3 - 0
PNT
75%
17%
8%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
PNT
0 - 3
GOR
18%
23%
59%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
MCZ
2 - 1
PNT
74%
17%
10%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
PNT
3 - 2
TUR
30%
24%
46%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +2 |