Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
AIR
1 - 1
RAI
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
RAI
5 - 1
STE
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
RAI
1 - 2
EAS
62%
23%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
ARB
0 - 2
RAI
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
RAI
4 - 2
DUM
65%
21%
15%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 0
DUN
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 2
ALL
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
FAL
2 - 4
DUN
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 0
AYR
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
QOS
0 - 0
DUN
58%
23%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |