Second Division Round 16

Raith Rovers vs Dumbarton analysis

Raith Rovers Dumbarton
48 ELO 53
14.2% Tilt -4.7%
1077º General ELO ranking 4021º
16º Country ELO ranking 46º
ELO win probability
43.3%
Raith Rovers
25.8%
Draw
30.9%
Dumbarton

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
Raith Rovers
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.9%
Win probability
Dumbarton
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Raith Rovers
+8%
+27%
Dumbarton

ELO progression

Raith Rovers
Dumbarton
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2005
RAI
Raith Rovers
0 - 2
Peterhead
PET
36%
25%
39%
48 57 9 0
22 Nov. 2005
AYR
Ayr United
2 - 1
Raith Rovers
RAI
49%
26%
25%
49 48 1 -1
05 Nov. 2005
RAI
Raith Rovers
1 - 1
Partick Thistle
PAR
39%
26%
35%
48 58 10 +1
29 Oct. 2005
STI
Stirling Albion
1 - 0
Raith Rovers
RAI
54%
24%
22%
49 49 0 -1
25 Oct. 2005
GRE
Gretna
5 - 1
Raith Rovers
RAI
79%
14%
7%
50 68 18 -1

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2005
DUM
Dumbarton
2 - 0
Forfar Athletic
FOR
45%
26%
29%
52 55 3 0
05 Nov. 2005
GRE
Greenock Morton
4 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
63%
21%
16%
53 60 7 -1
29 Oct. 2005
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 0
Peterhead
PET
36%
26%
38%
52 58 6 +1
25 Oct. 2005
ALL
Alloa Athletic
1 - 4
Dumbarton
DUM
60%
21%
19%
51 51 0 +1
22 Oct. 2005
DUM
Dumbarton
6 - 0
Ayr United
AYR
48%
25%
27%
50 50 0 +1