Radomiak Radom vs Ursus Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Radomiak Radom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
KSL
2 - 2
RAD
28%
27%
45%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
RAD
1 - 1
SAL
73%
18%
9%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
RAD
2 - 0
NOP
71%
19%
11%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
POG
2 - 0
RAD
41%
26%
34%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
RAD
2 - 0
MKP
73%
18%
10%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
UWA
2 - 0
NOP
39%
25%
36%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
POG
0 - 1
UWA
81%
13%
7%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
UWA
0 - 1
MKP
39%
25%
36%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
PFC
0 - 1
UWA
53%
24%
24%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
UWA
2 - 1
WSI
56%
23%
22%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |