Copa del Rey . 1/16
Global 2-1
Racing vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
65.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
TRO
0 - 5
RAC
9%
20%
72%
|
72 | 41 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
RAC
3 - 0
NOJ
78%
16%
6%
|
72 | 41 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
BUR
1 - 0
RAC
10%
21%
69%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
OVI
2 - 3
RAC
15%
24%
62%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
RAC
1 - 1
SPB
79%
16%
5%
|
73 | 44 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 2
SEV
25%
25%
50%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2013 |
SEV
1 - 1
EST
78%
15%
8%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SEV
4 - 0
BET
62%
20%
18%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 3
SEV
32%
25%
43%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
SEV
1 - 1
SLI
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |