Copa del Rey . 1/16
Global 6-6
Racing vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ATH
1 - 1
RAC
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
RAC
1 - 0
VIL
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MLL
2 - 1
RAC
52%
24%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2011 |
RAC
1 - 3
MAL
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
GRA
0 - 0
RAC
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
RAY
1 - 3
SPO
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ATM
3 - 1
RAY
72%
17%
10%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
FCB
4 - 0
RAY
90%
8%
2%
|
79 | 97 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
RAY
1 - 2
VCF
24%
25%
52%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
OSA
0 - 0
RAY
55%
25%
21%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |