Copa del Rey . 1/16
Global 1-5
Racing vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
58.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CAU
2 - 3
RAC
18%
27%
55%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
RAC
0 - 0
ACF
71%
20%
10%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
BOI
0 - 1
RAC
17%
26%
57%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
RAC
0 - 1
COX
73%
20%
8%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
SOM
1 - 1
RAC
16%
26%
58%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2016 |
UDL
3 - 1
ATH
34%
28%
39%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
ATH
3 - 2
SAS
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ATH
1 - 0
VIL
56%
23%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 0
ATH
35%
27%
38%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
ATH
5 - 3
GNK
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |