Racing Montevideo vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
DAN
2 - 0
RAC
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
RAC
2 - 0
JUN
57%
23%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
UMO
1 - 2
RAC
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 0
RAC
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
RAC
2 - 0
VIL
63%
22%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
ROC
0 - 1
ATE
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
CEN
1 - 0
ROC
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
ROC
1 - 2
DEF
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
ROC
1 - 3
CER
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
ROC
0 - 2
ALB
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |