Racing Montevideo vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
54.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
SUD
0 - 1
RAC
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
RAC
1 - 0
JUV
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
CER
0 - 2
RAC
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
RAC
1 - 3
PEÑ
30%
26%
44%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 2
RAC
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
MWA
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
DAN
1 - 2
NAC
29%
27%
45%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 1
RIV
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 1
LAN
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
ZUL
0 - 0
NAC
25%
25%
51%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | -1 |